A ton of rivalry games being played this weekend for both the pros and amateurs. Rivarlies make predicting games VERY hard. You never know how the attitude of each team is going to affect the outcome. While, some rivalries can be very one-sided, if there is enough dislike or envy between the teams, you never know what the motivations are going to be.
College Week 13
Georgia over Georgia Tech - of all the rivalry games, the talent disparagy in this one make it the easiest call for me. Tech has been too sychzophreic for any "hate" they may have to overcome the fact that Georgia is better at every position.
Oklahoma over Oklahoma State - the Cowboys exorcised some demons last year, I don't think their "hate" can overcome a driven Sooner team. Not only can Oklahoma still get into the BCS, they could sneak in the Championship if crazy stuff happens.
Penn State over Wisconsin - not sure if this is a "rivarly," but I have more faith in Penn State playing lights out on Senior Day of what has been a "moral victory" of a season.
Notre Dame over USC - the feel good story of the year is 120 minutes away from completion.
Florida State over Florida - rivalry hatred aside, I'm picking the team that didn't need a miraculous blocked punt to beat Jacksonville State.
Oregon over Oregon State - only the rivalry hatred and the Beavers propensity for pulling off unexpected upsets are keeping me from putting more confidence behind the pick. The Ducks are the LAST team I'd want to play this week.
Ohio State over Michigan - let's see: first, they're undefeated; second, they would be #1 if they weren't on probation; third, Michigan is overrated; finally, Urban Meyer loves to win his primary rivalry game.
UCLA over Stanford - my "upset" special. While both teams have "let down game" written all over them, I seriously think the Bruins are itching to play Oregon again in the Pac12 title game to get revenge from last year.
Texas Tech over Baylor - speaking for "let down games", Baylor might as well have tattooed it on their foreheads, but I'm not super confident Tech can take advantage... they did need ovcrtime to beat kansas.
Clemson over South Carolina - another case of Clemson and South Carolina starting highly ranked, playing all their marque games early, losing one or two, then climbing back into the top 15 just before their rivalry game. Honestly, I have NO clue.
Last Week: 6-4 (28 pts)
Season: 76-44 (449 pts)
NFL Week 12
Texans over Lions - the road team on Thursday games stink doesn't count on Thanksgiving, especially when the best team in the AFC is playing a fringe NFC playoff team.
Redskins over Cowboys - I've just got this feeling that RG3 is going to make everyone wake up from their turkey nap and say "wow" in this one. Plus 'Skins/Cowboys on Thanksgiving is a great rivarly.
Patriots over Jets - let's just say the the Thursday road team jinx is limited to games on NFL Network, their is no real way I'm picking against the Patriots. Another good rivarly for Thanksgiving.
Bears over Vikings - if the Bears don't figure out what went wrong last week we can all stop worrying about "Jay Cutler MVP" as another sign the Mayans were right.
Bengals over Raiders - the sneaky good Bengals will just keep flying under the radar. Plus, it's a west coast team playing on the "east coast" in the early games.
Steelers over Browns - finally, Brandon Weeden is starting against a quarterback older than him.
Colts over Bills - Colts and Luck at home... all the way to the playoffs... amazing.
Broncos over Chiefs - my LOCK of the week. Did I mention I'm 10-"1" on LOCK picks? That "1" is actually the 49ers tie.
Dolphins over Seahawks - first, Seahawks on the road; second, it has to be the longest road trip for ANYONE; third, west coast team playing on the east coast in an early game; finally, it's not really an upset because 6-4 in the NFC is like 4-6 in the AFC anyway.
Falcons over Buccaneers - Doug Martin, meet "Spoon" and "Willie Mo."
Titans over Jaguars - I honestly thought of locking the Titans because the Broncos play the Chiefs again in week 17 (and at home), but Blaine-O has been ever so steadily improving, and this is the team that passed him over to take Jake Locker, so it's no LOCK.
Ravens over Chargers - I seriously hope the Ravens bury the Chargers for good (sorry to all my wife's family that are Chargers fans). I'm fine with the Broncos running away with the West if it means neither the Chargers or Raiders even sniff the playoffs. With Manning, the Broncos are slowly falling behind the Chargers in the race for my least favorite NFL team (NOTE: the Raiders will always win in this race).
49ers over Saints - I'm pretty sure Aldon Smith can't replicate what he did on Monday, but I'm sure he'll try. I'm also sure the Saints defense will try to replicate what the Bears defense did on Monday (or what they didn't do).
Panthers over Eagles - what an ugly Monday night game... BOOO!
Last Week: 11-3
Season: 104-55
Wednesday, November 21, 2012
Wednesday, November 14, 2012
Time for Balling... a Little Basket Before Foot
Hey, guess what? Basketball season started last week.
Gee, the Lakers fired their coach after 5 games because he couldn't win when he had Steve Nash, Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, and Dwight Howard. You don't say? This is the same guy that couldn't win with LeBron James? Go figure.
I watched Mizzou play last night live. They are going to struggle until Mike Dixon gets back on the court and until they figure out who is taking charge of the offense and when. A nice problem to have: not enough minutes. They had an 8-man rotation last night and your talking about adding Dixon sometime soon and Jabari Brown next month. The combination of match-ups they can throw out there should make things interesting. One guy to look out for is Stefon Jankovich: long reach, good stroke, foreign fundamental skills, and he can throw down. He had a great game last night.
College Week 12
Kansas State over Baylor - the Kittycats are the perfect example of "why fix something that isn't broken?" They may have to adjust if they play Oregon or and SEC defense.
Oklahoma over West Virginia - last year Baylor won 10 games and gave up 48.3 points per game (including a shut out). This year West Virginia has given up 41.4 points per game and is 4-5. Which team has the worst defense ever?
Oregon over Stanford - can you imagine if Oregon played West Virginia this year? Or Baylor last year? Dear lord. Also, the Cardinal has a slim chance if their defense plays like it did against USC.
Tennessee over Vanderbilt - I still can't get over the fact that the same Missouri Tigers that I've been watching all season (and for 12+ seasons) actually won a road conference game were the other team got all the breaks. If the Volunteers don't win, you can kiss Derek Dooley goodbye.
Ohio State over Wisconsin - I'm still giddy over Ohio State's failure to self-impose their bowl ban last year (when they were 6-6). Now they will miss a shot a the National Championship. I hope they go undefeated so they can be mocked for all sports eternity.
Rutgers over Cincinnati - Rutgers' defense has been one of the best (fantasy-wise) all season. Cincinnati has looked questionable offensively. Defense wins.
Northwestern over Michigan State - I wanted to pick against Northwestern because they still ahve a glimmer of hope for a Big10 title, and they usually blow those opportunities. Then I remember how ridiculous the Big10 has been this year.
UCLA over USC - never count out a rival, especially at home against a poorly coached team.
BYU over San Jose State - I actually like SJSU but I couldn't bring myself to pick them with any strong rationalization.
Oklahoma State over Texas Tech - both these teams barely beat kansas, and yet they are still ranked, not sure what to think here.
Last Week: 7-3 (41 pts)
Season: 70-40 (421 pts)
NFL Week 11
Bills over Dolphins - always take the home team on Thursday nighters. Always.
Falcons over Cardinals - always take the home dome team that is coming off it's first loss of the season.
Cowboys over Browns - always be weary of Tony Romo.
Packers over Lions - always be concerned about Green Bay's run defense, but never so much that it clouds your vision of Aaron Rodgers playing in a dome.
Bengals over Chiefs - always pick against the Chiefs as long as Matt Cassel is quarterback, Romeo Crennel is the head coach, or Scott Pioli is the GM.
Jets over Rams - always pick against a team that settled for a tie the previous week.
Eagles over Redskins - always pick against the battered secondary going against a great receiving corps, even if their quarterback is Michael Vick.
Buccaneers over Panthers - always take the team with the sensational rookie putting up huge fantasy numbers.
Texans over Jaguars - always pick against Blaine Gabbert (this should be on the ten commandments of gambling), especially going up against the best defense in the league. And make sure it's your LOCK of the week.
Raiders over Saints - always pick against the Saints defense if the opposing offense is not a high school team, even if all they did last week was outscore the Falcons and prove that no one will go undefeated again.
Broncos over Chargers - always pick against a team that decides it's better to pay Ronnie Brown and Jackie Battle instead of Darren Sproles.
Patriots over Colts - always pick against a rookie quarterback going against Tom Brady on the road.
Ravens over Steelers - always pick against a team that needed overtime to beat the Chiefs at home.
Bears over 49ers - again, always pick against a team that settled for a tie the previous week.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 93-52
Gee, the Lakers fired their coach after 5 games because he couldn't win when he had Steve Nash, Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol, and Dwight Howard. You don't say? This is the same guy that couldn't win with LeBron James? Go figure.
I watched Mizzou play last night live. They are going to struggle until Mike Dixon gets back on the court and until they figure out who is taking charge of the offense and when. A nice problem to have: not enough minutes. They had an 8-man rotation last night and your talking about adding Dixon sometime soon and Jabari Brown next month. The combination of match-ups they can throw out there should make things interesting. One guy to look out for is Stefon Jankovich: long reach, good stroke, foreign fundamental skills, and he can throw down. He had a great game last night.
College Week 12
Kansas State over Baylor - the Kittycats are the perfect example of "why fix something that isn't broken?" They may have to adjust if they play Oregon or and SEC defense.
Oklahoma over West Virginia - last year Baylor won 10 games and gave up 48.3 points per game (including a shut out). This year West Virginia has given up 41.4 points per game and is 4-5. Which team has the worst defense ever?
Oregon over Stanford - can you imagine if Oregon played West Virginia this year? Or Baylor last year? Dear lord. Also, the Cardinal has a slim chance if their defense plays like it did against USC.
Tennessee over Vanderbilt - I still can't get over the fact that the same Missouri Tigers that I've been watching all season (and for 12+ seasons) actually won a road conference game were the other team got all the breaks. If the Volunteers don't win, you can kiss Derek Dooley goodbye.
Ohio State over Wisconsin - I'm still giddy over Ohio State's failure to self-impose their bowl ban last year (when they were 6-6). Now they will miss a shot a the National Championship. I hope they go undefeated so they can be mocked for all sports eternity.
Rutgers over Cincinnati - Rutgers' defense has been one of the best (fantasy-wise) all season. Cincinnati has looked questionable offensively. Defense wins.
Northwestern over Michigan State - I wanted to pick against Northwestern because they still ahve a glimmer of hope for a Big10 title, and they usually blow those opportunities. Then I remember how ridiculous the Big10 has been this year.
UCLA over USC - never count out a rival, especially at home against a poorly coached team.
BYU over San Jose State - I actually like SJSU but I couldn't bring myself to pick them with any strong rationalization.
Oklahoma State over Texas Tech - both these teams barely beat kansas, and yet they are still ranked, not sure what to think here.
Last Week: 7-3 (41 pts)
Season: 70-40 (421 pts)
NFL Week 11
Bills over Dolphins - always take the home team on Thursday nighters. Always.
Falcons over Cardinals - always take the home dome team that is coming off it's first loss of the season.
Cowboys over Browns - always be weary of Tony Romo.
Packers over Lions - always be concerned about Green Bay's run defense, but never so much that it clouds your vision of Aaron Rodgers playing in a dome.
Bengals over Chiefs - always pick against the Chiefs as long as Matt Cassel is quarterback, Romeo Crennel is the head coach, or Scott Pioli is the GM.
Jets over Rams - always pick against a team that settled for a tie the previous week.
Eagles over Redskins - always pick against the battered secondary going against a great receiving corps, even if their quarterback is Michael Vick.
Buccaneers over Panthers - always take the team with the sensational rookie putting up huge fantasy numbers.
Texans over Jaguars - always pick against Blaine Gabbert (this should be on the ten commandments of gambling), especially going up against the best defense in the league. And make sure it's your LOCK of the week.
Raiders over Saints - always pick against the Saints defense if the opposing offense is not a high school team, even if all they did last week was outscore the Falcons and prove that no one will go undefeated again.
Broncos over Chargers - always pick against a team that decides it's better to pay Ronnie Brown and Jackie Battle instead of Darren Sproles.
Patriots over Colts - always pick against a rookie quarterback going against Tom Brady on the road.
Ravens over Steelers - always pick against a team that needed overtime to beat the Chiefs at home.
Bears over 49ers - again, always pick against a team that settled for a tie the previous week.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 93-52
Wednesday, November 7, 2012
The Election is Over. Can We Get Back to Football?
Thank god, the election is over. Let's move on.
College Week 11
Notre Dame over Boston College - I'm pretty sure the best word to describe what is going on with the Irish is "magical."
Kansas State over TCU - I watched some of last week's kSU/OSU game. It amazed me how many times the Kittycats ran the QB draw, and how many times it gained more than a few yards. Something strange is going on in Manhattan.
LSU over Mississippi State - the Bulldogs had the opportunity to establish themselves as regular contenders last week, but they got bulldozed by the Aggies. While LSU doesn't have that kind of offense, expect the Bulldogs to roll over and settle into mediocrity.
Alabama over Texas A&M - it's possible, this could be the game, I just can't bring myself to pick the Aggies.
Louisville over Syracuse - I can't trust the Cardinals, but they keep on winning and 'Cuse is not the team to derail them.
Oklahoma State over West Virginia - if the Cowboys can score on k-State, expect them to score TONS on WVU.
Wisconsin over Indiana - we spent a couple weeks dreaming of Duke making a conference championship, no it's time to think about Indiana in the Big10 championship... if they beat the Badgers.
Washington over Utah - no clue. The Huskies have played some good games.
Nebraska over Penn State - I'd love to take Penn State, but Nebraska's defense is too good.
Oregon State over Stanford - when both defenses are quite stout, take the more consistent offense, but this could go any way too.
Last Week: 8-2 (45 pts)
Season: 63-37 (380 pts)
NFL Week 10
Colts over Jaguars - I was tempted to take Blaine Gabbert here, because he beat the Colts 2 months ago and the Colts are on the road, but I think the Colts proved they aren't to be messed with.
Giants over Bengals - Giants on the road, coming off a disappointing loss? No contest.
Dolphins over Titans - Bud Adams may have called out the Titans organization, but the Dolphins are angry after last week's bummer.
Lions over Vikings - someone please put out an APB for Minnesota's defense.
Patriots over Bills - you're kidding right? I'll give the Bills a 10% chance.
Falcons over Saints - the Saints might be turning a corner, but the Falcons are still undefeated and sporting some serious confidence.
Buccaneers over Chargers - give Doug Martin the ball, watch the Chargers defense wilt.
Broncos over Panthers - I heard that Peyton Manning purchased 21 Papa John's Pizza franchises in Colorado last week. Yesterday, Colorado legalized marijuana. Luck or Peyton being Peyton?
Ravens over Raiders - I don't think the Ravens are strong, but I don't think the Raiders pose a threat to many teams not named the Chiefs.
Seahawks over Jets - Russel Westbrook is the best QB in this game. I'll repeat that for the hard of hearing. Russel Westbrook is the best QB in this game.
Cowboys over Eagles - which NFC East team is has more wasted talent?
49ers over Rams - my LOCK of the week. You might be asking why I didn't lock the Steelers. I'll explain later.
Texans over Bears - has to be the game of the week. I still don't trust Jay Cutler, not against the Texans defense.
Steelers over Chiefs - I would have locked the Steelers, but since this is Monday night, and this might be the last stand for any Chiefs coach, I'm giving them a puncher's chance. The Chiefs do crazy things on Monday nights.
Last Week: 12-2
Season: 84-47
College Week 11
Notre Dame over Boston College - I'm pretty sure the best word to describe what is going on with the Irish is "magical."
Kansas State over TCU - I watched some of last week's kSU/OSU game. It amazed me how many times the Kittycats ran the QB draw, and how many times it gained more than a few yards. Something strange is going on in Manhattan.
LSU over Mississippi State - the Bulldogs had the opportunity to establish themselves as regular contenders last week, but they got bulldozed by the Aggies. While LSU doesn't have that kind of offense, expect the Bulldogs to roll over and settle into mediocrity.
Alabama over Texas A&M - it's possible, this could be the game, I just can't bring myself to pick the Aggies.
Louisville over Syracuse - I can't trust the Cardinals, but they keep on winning and 'Cuse is not the team to derail them.
Oklahoma State over West Virginia - if the Cowboys can score on k-State, expect them to score TONS on WVU.
Wisconsin over Indiana - we spent a couple weeks dreaming of Duke making a conference championship, no it's time to think about Indiana in the Big10 championship... if they beat the Badgers.
Washington over Utah - no clue. The Huskies have played some good games.
Nebraska over Penn State - I'd love to take Penn State, but Nebraska's defense is too good.
Oregon State over Stanford - when both defenses are quite stout, take the more consistent offense, but this could go any way too.
Last Week: 8-2 (45 pts)
Season: 63-37 (380 pts)
NFL Week 10
Colts over Jaguars - I was tempted to take Blaine Gabbert here, because he beat the Colts 2 months ago and the Colts are on the road, but I think the Colts proved they aren't to be messed with.
Giants over Bengals - Giants on the road, coming off a disappointing loss? No contest.
Dolphins over Titans - Bud Adams may have called out the Titans organization, but the Dolphins are angry after last week's bummer.
Lions over Vikings - someone please put out an APB for Minnesota's defense.
Patriots over Bills - you're kidding right? I'll give the Bills a 10% chance.
Falcons over Saints - the Saints might be turning a corner, but the Falcons are still undefeated and sporting some serious confidence.
Buccaneers over Chargers - give Doug Martin the ball, watch the Chargers defense wilt.
Broncos over Panthers - I heard that Peyton Manning purchased 21 Papa John's Pizza franchises in Colorado last week. Yesterday, Colorado legalized marijuana. Luck or Peyton being Peyton?
Ravens over Raiders - I don't think the Ravens are strong, but I don't think the Raiders pose a threat to many teams not named the Chiefs.
Seahawks over Jets - Russel Westbrook is the best QB in this game. I'll repeat that for the hard of hearing. Russel Westbrook is the best QB in this game.
Cowboys over Eagles - which NFC East team is has more wasted talent?
49ers over Rams - my LOCK of the week. You might be asking why I didn't lock the Steelers. I'll explain later.
Texans over Bears - has to be the game of the week. I still don't trust Jay Cutler, not against the Texans defense.
Steelers over Chiefs - I would have locked the Steelers, but since this is Monday night, and this might be the last stand for any Chiefs coach, I'm giving them a puncher's chance. The Chiefs do crazy things on Monday nights.
Last Week: 12-2
Season: 84-47
Thursday, November 1, 2012
Don't Be Scared by How Bad These Picks Are
There, that's my one Halloween pun for the entire blog.
Also vote for Truman the Tiger in the Capital One Mascot Challenge. The winner gets $20,000 for their mascot scholarship program... http://www.capitalonebowl.com/vote
College Week 10
Kansas State over Oklahoma State - if the fairy tale was going to end for the Kittycats, it'd be this week, but I can't bring myself to see a scenario where this would happen.
Texas Tech over Texas - Texas almost lost to kansas... I'll repeat that for the hard of hearing, Texas almost lost to kansas.
Alabama over LSU - last year's regular season game was 6-3... both defenses got better, Alabama's offense got better, LSU's did not. You do the math.
Clemson over Duke - Duke is still in first place in their division... I'll repeat that for the hard of hearing, Duke is in first place. This could be a preview of the ACC Championship game.
Oklahoma over Iowa State - I would not want to play the Sooners right now.
Penn State over Purdue - At 0-4 in the Big10, Purdue can still make the Big10 Championship. At 3-1, Penn State can not. Don't try to do the math.
Nebraska over Michigan State - Nebraska might end up in the Rose Bowl because apparently no one else who can play in it wants to.
Oregon State over Arizona State - The Beavers have gone back to the backup that carried them through some tough games, this one could go either way if he plays like a backup.
Oregon over USC - We will find out if USC can play defense, and if Matt Barkley can put up numbers against a quality opponent.
Mississippi State over Texas A&M - The Aggies three conference wins were against Auburn, Arkansas and Ole Miss. The Bulldogs three conference wins were against Auburn, Kentucky and Tennesse. We see which team wants to be in third place in the SEC West.
Last Week: 5-5 (21 pts)
Season: 55-35 (335 pts.)
NFL Week 9
Chargers over Chiefs - LOCK of the week, of course.
Broncos over Bengals - I almost locked in the Broncos, but this is a road game and the Bengals aren't bad.
Ravens over Browns - We've done this already. Are there really two games this week featuring division rivalries that have already been played this season?
Packers over Cardinals - How many times do you think Larry Fitzgerald contemplated sneaking into a Packers uniform this week?
Bears over Titans - We are another week closer to uttering the phrase "Super Bowl MVP Jay Cutler." Weird.
Colts over Dolphins - First upset pick. The Colts have played very well at home this year. Also, did you realize they are in second place? They are currently a playoff team. Seriously.
Redskins over Panthers - Cam Newton, meet your better.
Lions over Jaguars - Every weekend I wonder how Blaine Gabbert would have held up in the SEC... probably not well.
Texans over Bills - Arian Foster for 160 yards and 2 TDs.
Buccaneers over Raiders - The Gruden's Former Teams bowl... awkward.
Seahawks over Vikings - Second upset pick. Love the Seahawks defense this year and I'm not impressed by Minnesota's offense.
Giants over Steelers - The Steelers have not won back to back games this year, FYI.
Falcons over Cowboys - still not picking against the undefeated team.
Saints over Eagles - Michael Vick for 3 turnovers and 7 other "face-palm" moments.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 72-45
Also vote for Truman the Tiger in the Capital One Mascot Challenge. The winner gets $20,000 for their mascot scholarship program... http://www.capitalonebowl.com/vote
College Week 10
Kansas State over Oklahoma State - if the fairy tale was going to end for the Kittycats, it'd be this week, but I can't bring myself to see a scenario where this would happen.
Texas Tech over Texas - Texas almost lost to kansas... I'll repeat that for the hard of hearing, Texas almost lost to kansas.
Alabama over LSU - last year's regular season game was 6-3... both defenses got better, Alabama's offense got better, LSU's did not. You do the math.
Clemson over Duke - Duke is still in first place in their division... I'll repeat that for the hard of hearing, Duke is in first place. This could be a preview of the ACC Championship game.
Oklahoma over Iowa State - I would not want to play the Sooners right now.
Penn State over Purdue - At 0-4 in the Big10, Purdue can still make the Big10 Championship. At 3-1, Penn State can not. Don't try to do the math.
Nebraska over Michigan State - Nebraska might end up in the Rose Bowl because apparently no one else who can play in it wants to.
Oregon State over Arizona State - The Beavers have gone back to the backup that carried them through some tough games, this one could go either way if he plays like a backup.
Oregon over USC - We will find out if USC can play defense, and if Matt Barkley can put up numbers against a quality opponent.
Mississippi State over Texas A&M - The Aggies three conference wins were against Auburn, Arkansas and Ole Miss. The Bulldogs three conference wins were against Auburn, Kentucky and Tennesse. We see which team wants to be in third place in the SEC West.
Last Week: 5-5 (21 pts)
Season: 55-35 (335 pts.)
NFL Week 9
Chargers over Chiefs - LOCK of the week, of course.
Broncos over Bengals - I almost locked in the Broncos, but this is a road game and the Bengals aren't bad.
Ravens over Browns - We've done this already. Are there really two games this week featuring division rivalries that have already been played this season?
Packers over Cardinals - How many times do you think Larry Fitzgerald contemplated sneaking into a Packers uniform this week?
Bears over Titans - We are another week closer to uttering the phrase "Super Bowl MVP Jay Cutler." Weird.
Colts over Dolphins - First upset pick. The Colts have played very well at home this year. Also, did you realize they are in second place? They are currently a playoff team. Seriously.
Redskins over Panthers - Cam Newton, meet your better.
Lions over Jaguars - Every weekend I wonder how Blaine Gabbert would have held up in the SEC... probably not well.
Texans over Bills - Arian Foster for 160 yards and 2 TDs.
Buccaneers over Raiders - The Gruden's Former Teams bowl... awkward.
Seahawks over Vikings - Second upset pick. Love the Seahawks defense this year and I'm not impressed by Minnesota's offense.
Giants over Steelers - The Steelers have not won back to back games this year, FYI.
Falcons over Cowboys - still not picking against the undefeated team.
Saints over Eagles - Michael Vick for 3 turnovers and 7 other "face-palm" moments.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 72-45
Thursday, October 25, 2012
Wednesday, Thursday... who cares? It's Football!
So I had stuff to do on lunch yesterday, so you had to wait one day for the football blog, I didn't know you cared that much.
College Week 9
USC over Arizona - This is the only game I am sure about. USC is climbing back into consideration thanks to the SEC working itself out and losing early.
Wisconsin over Michigan State - Like I said, I have really no clue about the rest of these games, but speaking of climbing back into consideration, why isn't Wisconsin ranked? Losses to Oregon State and Nebraska aren't that bad. With Ohio State and Penn State ineligible, Wisconsin is in the driver seat to get back to the Big10 Championship.
BYU over Georgia Tech - These are the top two teams in the race for Most Schizo Team this year.
Oregon State over Washington - I seriously contemplated the upset pick here, I mean the Beavers are vulnerable and Washington is no pushover at home.
Ohio State over Penn State - I'd say this game was for the division championship, but neither is eligible to win it, so... Big10 football, where corruption and mediocrity come easily!
Michigan over Nebraska - The winner is a contender, the loser is not. Simple as that. Fix your defenses, though, seriously.
Northwestern over Iowa - Another Big10 game?? Where's Boise and the ACC this week???
Florida over Georgia - All I can think of is the World's Largest Cocktail Party.... mmmm, cocktails.
Notre Dame over Oklahoma - I officially picked this game to be 6-3. I know Oklahoma is solid at home, and they will probably still win the Big12, but I cannot pick against Manti Teo... I mean the dude's grandmother and girlfriend died like the same day... he is focused with nothing to lose.
Kansas State over Texas Tech - These teams have taken turns as the fringe Big12 contender for like 20 years... a Tech win could mean a three way tie, and we all know how they deal with ties in the Big 12 (poorly, that's the correct answer).
Last Week: 7-3 (45 pts)
Season: 50-30 (314 pts)
NFL Week 8
Vikings over Buccaneers - undefeated at home against a shaky quarterback is a pretty good reason.
Bears over Panthers - is it just me or is Jay Cutler starting to look credible? Or is it too early to tell?
Chargers over Browns - if the Browns were ever going to get a coach fired, now is the time.
Seahawks over Lions - the history of this series indicates the Seahawks secondary is not worried about Lions passing game.
Packers over Jaguars - LOCK of the week for many reasons.
Titans over Colts - Hasselback is back and the Colts are not good on the road.
Patriots over Rams - another loss for the Patriots and questions are going to need to be answered.
Jets over Dolphins - another loss for the Jets and ESPN will have 50 more hours of Sportcenter programming.
Falcons over Eagles - not going against the undefeated team, but I will say the Eagles could pull this one off.
Steelers over Redskins - Roethlisberger will shred the depleted Skins secondary. RG3 will take at least 3 cheap shots.
Raiders over Chiefs - still not picking them, even after I tell you to follow @SaveOurChiefs on Twitter. We are trying to get Paoli fired. Did you know that at one point the Raiders had lost like 15 straight to the Chiefs... if they win this one they will have won 3 straight in Arrowhead... that is inexcusable.
Giants over Cowboys - Giants on the road are almost as much of a lock as who is playing the Jaguars or Chiefs.
Broncos over Saints - Peyton Manning at home on primetime? You're kidding right? I'm starting to think he picked the Broncos because of all their primetime games this year.
49ers over Cardinals - there will be several meetings of the Missouri Smiths in the backfield on Monday.
Last Week: 11-2
Season: 63-40
College Week 9
USC over Arizona - This is the only game I am sure about. USC is climbing back into consideration thanks to the SEC working itself out and losing early.
Wisconsin over Michigan State - Like I said, I have really no clue about the rest of these games, but speaking of climbing back into consideration, why isn't Wisconsin ranked? Losses to Oregon State and Nebraska aren't that bad. With Ohio State and Penn State ineligible, Wisconsin is in the driver seat to get back to the Big10 Championship.
BYU over Georgia Tech - These are the top two teams in the race for Most Schizo Team this year.
Oregon State over Washington - I seriously contemplated the upset pick here, I mean the Beavers are vulnerable and Washington is no pushover at home.
Ohio State over Penn State - I'd say this game was for the division championship, but neither is eligible to win it, so... Big10 football, where corruption and mediocrity come easily!
Michigan over Nebraska - The winner is a contender, the loser is not. Simple as that. Fix your defenses, though, seriously.
Northwestern over Iowa - Another Big10 game?? Where's Boise and the ACC this week???
Florida over Georgia - All I can think of is the World's Largest Cocktail Party.... mmmm, cocktails.
Notre Dame over Oklahoma - I officially picked this game to be 6-3. I know Oklahoma is solid at home, and they will probably still win the Big12, but I cannot pick against Manti Teo... I mean the dude's grandmother and girlfriend died like the same day... he is focused with nothing to lose.
Kansas State over Texas Tech - These teams have taken turns as the fringe Big12 contender for like 20 years... a Tech win could mean a three way tie, and we all know how they deal with ties in the Big 12 (poorly, that's the correct answer).
Last Week: 7-3 (45 pts)
Season: 50-30 (314 pts)
NFL Week 8
Vikings over Buccaneers - undefeated at home against a shaky quarterback is a pretty good reason.
Bears over Panthers - is it just me or is Jay Cutler starting to look credible? Or is it too early to tell?
Chargers over Browns - if the Browns were ever going to get a coach fired, now is the time.
Seahawks over Lions - the history of this series indicates the Seahawks secondary is not worried about Lions passing game.
Packers over Jaguars - LOCK of the week for many reasons.
Titans over Colts - Hasselback is back and the Colts are not good on the road.
Patriots over Rams - another loss for the Patriots and questions are going to need to be answered.
Jets over Dolphins - another loss for the Jets and ESPN will have 50 more hours of Sportcenter programming.
Falcons over Eagles - not going against the undefeated team, but I will say the Eagles could pull this one off.
Steelers over Redskins - Roethlisberger will shred the depleted Skins secondary. RG3 will take at least 3 cheap shots.
Raiders over Chiefs - still not picking them, even after I tell you to follow @SaveOurChiefs on Twitter. We are trying to get Paoli fired. Did you know that at one point the Raiders had lost like 15 straight to the Chiefs... if they win this one they will have won 3 straight in Arrowhead... that is inexcusable.
Giants over Cowboys - Giants on the road are almost as much of a lock as who is playing the Jaguars or Chiefs.
Broncos over Saints - Peyton Manning at home on primetime? You're kidding right? I'm starting to think he picked the Broncos because of all their primetime games this year.
49ers over Cardinals - there will be several meetings of the Missouri Smiths in the backfield on Monday.
Last Week: 11-2
Season: 63-40
Wednesday, October 17, 2012
Soldiering On
Piss poor performance from me last week, and not just in picks. Terrible week for me all-around. But it's time to soldier on, get back to the basics, try to eliminate mistakes by not doing anything out of the ordinary. Home teams, defense, streaks, bye weeks. I need to pay attention to the major factors and only concern myself with substance.
College Week 8
Alabama over Tennessee - I'm sure even less than 10% of Tennessee fans are picking against Alabama this week. Pick the better defense on the longest winning streak. Champions until they are dethroned.
Clemson over Virginia Tech - Home team, day game, not on national TV, this is usually the recipe for a Clemson win, plus as shaky as their defense has been, they haven't scored less than 35 points since Labor Day.
Texas over Baylor - the Bears caught a break last year, their best team against Texas' worst team. Now that Texas has a dynamic offense, Baylor's suspect defense won't be able to hold up especially in Austin.
Northwestern over Nebraska - semi-upset special because of how uncharacteristically bad Nebraska's defense has been. Northwestern has enough weapons to make this game scary.
LSU over Texas A&M - LSU has the better defense. More importantly, A&M's defense is no where near as good as LSU's. I know Louisiana Tech is pretty good, but giving up 57 points? Wow. LSU might not be a high-powered attack, but they have more talent and can score plenty if needed.
Texas Tech over TCU - former doormats of the SWC in a game where the winner stays competitive in the Big12. Even though Tech is ripe for a let-down game, I don't think TCU's backup QB can do better than Geno Smith did.
Kansas State over West Virginia - I'll take the team that plays defense, but if the Kitty Kats turn the ball over or score to quickly, this may turn into Baylor-WVU part 2.
Michigan over Michigan State - They may not be at their best but Michigan's only two losses were to teams ranked #1 and #5 in the BCS. They really got rolling against Illinois last week.
South Carolina over Florida - Just like the LSU/A&M game, the Gamecocks have a better defense and Florida's offense is not miles better than Spurrier's.
Cal over Stanford - upset special. Stanford has been terrible on the road... no offensive touchdowns in two road games (depending on how you view their final play last week). Cal has scored plenty of points and in a rivalry game, the home team is going to have the most emotion.
Last Week: 5-5 (34 pts)
Season: 43-27 (269 pts)
NFL Week 7
49ers over Seahawks - Seattle has played solid defense, but mostly at home. The 49ers have the better QB (even if it is Alex Smith).
Titans over Bills - maybe the Titans turned a corner last week. Hasselbeck is back under center and they might actually keep handing off to Chris Johnson.
Colts over Browns - take the home team with the better QB. Only a few guys that you can say Andrew Luck is better than at this point... Weeden is one of them.
Packers over Rams - the Rams defense has a chance to keep them in this game, but they have to keep the Packers out of the endzone. That is not happening.
Vikings over Cardinals - I suggest that the Cardinals run the Wild Larry and snap the ball to Fitzgerald so he can throw it to himself... otherwise what do they have on offense?
Giants over Redskins - We're still two games away from the Giants let down, I think they saw enough game film of RG3 running roughshod on a good Vikings defense to lose this one.
Buccaneers over Saints - Just hand the ball off Josh Freeman, and let the Saints defense do nothing.
Cowboys over Panthers - Cam Newton can put up stats all day, but with the Cowboys playing better lately, can he beat a team with substance?
Texans over Ravens - I expect two things from this game (the game of the week): Houston will be mad, and Baltimore will think they can air it out just like the Packers did last week. I think that puts their defense in a tough spot, one that is made tougher without their leader.
Raiders over Jaguars - my LOCK of the week. Seriously, without the Chiefs playing, I could go against Blaine Gabbert on the road (even if it's the Raiders), take the Patriots and their atrotious defense, the Colts, the 49ers coming off a loss, the Packers shaky offensive line, or someone from one of the 3 toss ups (Min/Ari, TB/NO, Sea/SF). Gabbert is easy money... or in this case, the Raiders are easier money.
Patriots over Jets - I believe that the Patriots don't lose 2 in a row. I believe Brady plays better against the Jets. I don't believe either Sanchez or Tebow is a winning QB. I don't believe the Jets have re-committed to the run.
Bengals over Steelers - I'll take the home team against a struggling defense. The Bengals are balances and AJ Green is always dangerous.
Bears over Lions - Sometime in November we are all going to look at the standings a go "What? The road to the Super Bowl in the NFC is going to go through Jay Cutler's house??? How did that happen?"
Last Week: 4-10 (ouch!)
Season: 52-38
College Week 8
Alabama over Tennessee - I'm sure even less than 10% of Tennessee fans are picking against Alabama this week. Pick the better defense on the longest winning streak. Champions until they are dethroned.
Clemson over Virginia Tech - Home team, day game, not on national TV, this is usually the recipe for a Clemson win, plus as shaky as their defense has been, they haven't scored less than 35 points since Labor Day.
Texas over Baylor - the Bears caught a break last year, their best team against Texas' worst team. Now that Texas has a dynamic offense, Baylor's suspect defense won't be able to hold up especially in Austin.
Northwestern over Nebraska - semi-upset special because of how uncharacteristically bad Nebraska's defense has been. Northwestern has enough weapons to make this game scary.
LSU over Texas A&M - LSU has the better defense. More importantly, A&M's defense is no where near as good as LSU's. I know Louisiana Tech is pretty good, but giving up 57 points? Wow. LSU might not be a high-powered attack, but they have more talent and can score plenty if needed.
Texas Tech over TCU - former doormats of the SWC in a game where the winner stays competitive in the Big12. Even though Tech is ripe for a let-down game, I don't think TCU's backup QB can do better than Geno Smith did.
Kansas State over West Virginia - I'll take the team that plays defense, but if the Kitty Kats turn the ball over or score to quickly, this may turn into Baylor-WVU part 2.
Michigan over Michigan State - They may not be at their best but Michigan's only two losses were to teams ranked #1 and #5 in the BCS. They really got rolling against Illinois last week.
South Carolina over Florida - Just like the LSU/A&M game, the Gamecocks have a better defense and Florida's offense is not miles better than Spurrier's.
Cal over Stanford - upset special. Stanford has been terrible on the road... no offensive touchdowns in two road games (depending on how you view their final play last week). Cal has scored plenty of points and in a rivalry game, the home team is going to have the most emotion.
Last Week: 5-5 (34 pts)
Season: 43-27 (269 pts)
NFL Week 7
49ers over Seahawks - Seattle has played solid defense, but mostly at home. The 49ers have the better QB (even if it is Alex Smith).
Titans over Bills - maybe the Titans turned a corner last week. Hasselbeck is back under center and they might actually keep handing off to Chris Johnson.
Colts over Browns - take the home team with the better QB. Only a few guys that you can say Andrew Luck is better than at this point... Weeden is one of them.
Packers over Rams - the Rams defense has a chance to keep them in this game, but they have to keep the Packers out of the endzone. That is not happening.
Vikings over Cardinals - I suggest that the Cardinals run the Wild Larry and snap the ball to Fitzgerald so he can throw it to himself... otherwise what do they have on offense?
Giants over Redskins - We're still two games away from the Giants let down, I think they saw enough game film of RG3 running roughshod on a good Vikings defense to lose this one.
Buccaneers over Saints - Just hand the ball off Josh Freeman, and let the Saints defense do nothing.
Cowboys over Panthers - Cam Newton can put up stats all day, but with the Cowboys playing better lately, can he beat a team with substance?
Texans over Ravens - I expect two things from this game (the game of the week): Houston will be mad, and Baltimore will think they can air it out just like the Packers did last week. I think that puts their defense in a tough spot, one that is made tougher without their leader.
Raiders over Jaguars - my LOCK of the week. Seriously, without the Chiefs playing, I could go against Blaine Gabbert on the road (even if it's the Raiders), take the Patriots and their atrotious defense, the Colts, the 49ers coming off a loss, the Packers shaky offensive line, or someone from one of the 3 toss ups (Min/Ari, TB/NO, Sea/SF). Gabbert is easy money... or in this case, the Raiders are easier money.
Patriots over Jets - I believe that the Patriots don't lose 2 in a row. I believe Brady plays better against the Jets. I don't believe either Sanchez or Tebow is a winning QB. I don't believe the Jets have re-committed to the run.
Bengals over Steelers - I'll take the home team against a struggling defense. The Bengals are balances and AJ Green is always dangerous.
Bears over Lions - Sometime in November we are all going to look at the standings a go "What? The road to the Super Bowl in the NFC is going to go through Jay Cutler's house??? How did that happen?"
Last Week: 4-10 (ouch!)
Season: 52-38
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
... and October Drags On
I cannot even begin to talk about last week's Missouri loss. It will just get me depressed that the three teams I cheer for are perennially, at best, not that bad. The Royals fight to keep from losing 100 games every year. The Chiefs have been riding the success of the '90s for 12+ years, while making no effort to be the best. And Missouri is always a gut-wrenching loss away from being forgotten every year. It's getting harder and harder to just say, "well, maybe some day they'll win the big one," 'cause they won't.
College Week 7
Louisville over Pittsburgh - If I'm wrong about this game, the Big East is Rutgers' to lose and will once again not get much respect from the polls.
Notre Dame over Stanford - I don't think I can pick against Mante Te'o and the Irish defense right now, at least until they lose. Te'o is playing like he had nothing to lose, and that's scary.
West Virginia over Texas Tech - They scored on Texas' defense, I seriously doubt there is a defense in the Big12 that can stop them.
Boise State over Fresno State - The Broncos aren't done yet, just cause they actually lost the "big game" opener this year doesn't mean they aren't the best non-BCS team. Although, Ohio has an agrument.
South Carolina over LSU - If Georgia can only score 7, I'd be surprised in LSU scored ANYTHING.
Mississippi State over Tennessee - I'm crossing my fingers that Tennessee is actually really bad, that way (maybe) Mizzou can win a road SEC game.
Texas over Oklahoma - Also crossing my fingers that Oklahoma is actually bad, but the easy part of the schedule is coming up.
USC over Washington - Probably the last chance for the Trojans to be in good BCS shape.
Michigan State over Iowa - First team to 10 wins.
Louisiana Tech over Texas A&M - Upset special, I would have felt a lot better about it if they had played it in week 1, though.
Last Week: 6-4 (37 pts), back to earth
Season: 38-22 (235 pts)
NFL Week
Steelers over Titans - It's about that time of the year for the Steelers to win 4-6 games under the radar.
Falcons over Raiders - My LOCK of the week, the Raiders playing at 10 AM Oakland time against a team that hasn't lost yet? LOCK it.
Bengals over Browns - They already played this game, I remember how it turned out.
Rams over Dolphins - This will probably come down to a game of kickers and the Rams have the best right now.
Colts over Jets - Expect to see Tebow in this game... that's not a good thing.
Eagles over Lions - Only because the Eagles are playing some great defense and the Madden curse is due.
Buccaneers over Chiefs - I'm not picking the Chiefs again this season. Realistically, how many games can the burn me on? Four, maybe?
Ravens over Cowboys - I'll trust the team that has been consistent, even if their play calling has been questionable. Maybe they run the ball a little this week.
Cardinals over Bills - Could have pick either team here and had no defense for either pick.
Patriots over Seahawks - It's about time the Seattle sports world got a solid gut punch again.
49ers over Giants - The Niners aren't garaunteed to go to the Super Bowl, but they are the only team in the NFC I have 100% confidence in at this point.
Vikings over Redskins - This is entirely a records-based decision. I could totally see RG3 going for 400 total yards and 5 scores.
Titans over Packers - We are about to see the Packers at 2-4. A great passing game only gets you 1/3 of the way there.
Broncos over Chargers - Manning (and his noodle arm) on a Monday night in nice weather? Sign me up.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 48-28
College Week 7
Louisville over Pittsburgh - If I'm wrong about this game, the Big East is Rutgers' to lose and will once again not get much respect from the polls.
Notre Dame over Stanford - I don't think I can pick against Mante Te'o and the Irish defense right now, at least until they lose. Te'o is playing like he had nothing to lose, and that's scary.
West Virginia over Texas Tech - They scored on Texas' defense, I seriously doubt there is a defense in the Big12 that can stop them.
Boise State over Fresno State - The Broncos aren't done yet, just cause they actually lost the "big game" opener this year doesn't mean they aren't the best non-BCS team. Although, Ohio has an agrument.
South Carolina over LSU - If Georgia can only score 7, I'd be surprised in LSU scored ANYTHING.
Mississippi State over Tennessee - I'm crossing my fingers that Tennessee is actually really bad, that way (maybe) Mizzou can win a road SEC game.
Texas over Oklahoma - Also crossing my fingers that Oklahoma is actually bad, but the easy part of the schedule is coming up.
USC over Washington - Probably the last chance for the Trojans to be in good BCS shape.
Michigan State over Iowa - First team to 10 wins.
Louisiana Tech over Texas A&M - Upset special, I would have felt a lot better about it if they had played it in week 1, though.
Last Week: 6-4 (37 pts), back to earth
Season: 38-22 (235 pts)
NFL Week
Steelers over Titans - It's about that time of the year for the Steelers to win 4-6 games under the radar.
Falcons over Raiders - My LOCK of the week, the Raiders playing at 10 AM Oakland time against a team that hasn't lost yet? LOCK it.
Bengals over Browns - They already played this game, I remember how it turned out.
Rams over Dolphins - This will probably come down to a game of kickers and the Rams have the best right now.
Colts over Jets - Expect to see Tebow in this game... that's not a good thing.
Eagles over Lions - Only because the Eagles are playing some great defense and the Madden curse is due.
Buccaneers over Chiefs - I'm not picking the Chiefs again this season. Realistically, how many games can the burn me on? Four, maybe?
Ravens over Cowboys - I'll trust the team that has been consistent, even if their play calling has been questionable. Maybe they run the ball a little this week.
Cardinals over Bills - Could have pick either team here and had no defense for either pick.
Patriots over Seahawks - It's about time the Seattle sports world got a solid gut punch again.
49ers over Giants - The Niners aren't garaunteed to go to the Super Bowl, but they are the only team in the NFC I have 100% confidence in at this point.
Vikings over Redskins - This is entirely a records-based decision. I could totally see RG3 going for 400 total yards and 5 scores.
Titans over Packers - We are about to see the Packers at 2-4. A great passing game only gets you 1/3 of the way there.
Broncos over Chargers - Manning (and his noodle arm) on a Monday night in nice weather? Sign me up.
Last Week: 9-5
Season: 48-28
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