Monday, July 11, 2011

One Month In

Well it’s been four weeks of fatherhood and I’m still alive… more importantly so is The Jet.
You probably have many questions about what it’s like to be a parent. At this point, I don’t have much advice, but I can tell you a few things:
- For the entire time you are pregnant everyone will be telling you how much you life will change and how it will never be the same. It’s annoying, but they are not wrong, so just nod and smile.
- Do not make plans for how to raise the child outside of the big questions like religion. You will be forced to change them anyways.
- Let your friends and family help you in any way they can. Do not be too proud to assume you can do it all by yourself.
- Value sleep more than anything else, except the baby.
- Encourage communication and patience with your partner. Do not try to “out do” the other parent or “pass off” responsibilities.
- You will have a much shorter temper. Remember this so that you know when you’ll have to just take a deep breath.
- It’s always okay to let a crying baby cry, especially if you’ve already tried all you can to appease it.

So far, that is what The Jet has taught me. Honestly, I’m really looking forward to being able to interact with him more.

The first half of the baseball season is over and I’d have to say the biggest surprise is the Pirate; just 1 game out of first in the NL Central. Every division race is close and no one has really separated themselves from the pack as far as the individual races go. Here are my predictions for the rest of the season:
- NL Playoffs: Braves over Giants, Phillies over Cardinals, Phillies over Braves
- AL Playoffs: Red Sox over Angels, Rangers over Tigers, Rangers over Red Sox
- NL Awards: Prince Fielder (MVP), Cole Hamels (Cy Young)
- AL Awards: Adrian Gonzalez (MVP), Justin Verlander (Cy Young), Eric Hosmer (ROY)

A word about the US Women’s Soccer team and women’s sports in general:
Most average sports fans think very little of women’s sports. Their typical complaints are about a lack of athleticism, shallow talent pools leading to weak competition, and general sexism. Maybe it’s easy for me to enjoy something my country dominates at, but for someone who is a fan of losing teams, this helps. Look at how dominate American female athletes are in most sports; basketball, soccer, hockey, tennis, and track & field.
Watching that amazing comeback yesterday in Germany showed me that the American spirit is personified in our international athletes, and no one showed it better than those women on the soccer team. I cannot say how impressive it is to beat the FIFA #3 team in on PKs, after scoring in the final 30 seconds on a 25-yard, crossing pass for a header. Quite possibly the greatest game I’ve ever watched, and the referees made the degree of difficulty go through the roof.

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

NBA Finals Preview

So the 2011 NBA Finals start tonight… five years ago pundits were touting this match-up as one of the worst ever (both in quality of teams and ratings possibilities), now the same match-up is carrying much more hype. Why?

Reason #1: LeBron James and The Decision.
Reason #2: The teams were much more successful this year and this is arguably the 5th, 6th, or 7th best match-up. (I’d say, Bulls-Lakers, Heat-Lakers, Celtics-Lakers, Heat-Thunder, Heat-Spurs, and Celtics-Spurs are the only bigger match-ups)
Reason #3: It’s a rematch.

Essentially, if it wasn’t for the dump LeBron took on Cleveland last summer, no one would really care about whether the Heat succeed or fail. Now, it’s a polarizing issue. People are either Heat fans or Maverick fans (note: I think I’m settling in as a Heat fan).

So, to add to the hype even more, here are my keys to the series (in reverse order of importance):

Key #1: The interior presence of the Heat frontcourt.
Most will probably say that the Thunder lost in the last round because their inexperience lead to them not being able to close Games 4 and 5. The honest truth is that they got outplayed inside. No offense to Nick Collison; but when he’s your crunch-time defensive option on Nowitzki, you’re in trouble. Ibaka and Perkins were non-factors, which can’t happen. Bosh, Haslem, Anthony, Jones, and Ilgalskus need to play big. Seriously, Tyson Chandler and Brendan Heywood aren’t chopped liver, but they aren’t championship centers either. Which brings me to…

Key #2: How will the Heat defend Nowitzki?
There are several possibilities, and none of which is going to work for a whole series. They could cover him straight up with their regular rotation (Bosh or his sub). They could stick Joel Anthony on him as much as possible. They could tether him to Ilgalskus and have Big Z sit on the bench all game. Or they could throw LeBron at him and see what happens. Ideally, I think they’ll throw the kitchen sink at him, change it up almost every possession and bring in gimmick line-ups like they did against Chicago. One problem, if they go big, Terry or Kidd will eat Mike Miller alive.

Key #3: How will the Mavericks defend LeBron?
Simple. It will hinge entirely on how much they want to play Stojakovic, especially if the Heat go big. Marion and Stevenson will have their hands full, but I believe they are capable of holding LeBron and Wade to 35 combined, which is respectable.

Key #4: The overall play of Chris Bosh (and to a lesser extent, Wade).
This one is also simple. The Mavericks may find a way to defend LeBron (or hold him under 20 points), but if the Big 3 go for 75+ combined, they can’t win. Bosh has been big in several games and Wade has upped his game in the clutch. As good as Nowitzki’s fade-away is, it won’t help him defend Bosh away from the paint. It’s a match-up that the Heat have to try to exploit.

My prediction… home team wins every game… Heat in seven.

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Changing in the Winds

Mark this day down in your calendars, folks. Shallow Speculations as you know it is going to be changing its format. From this day forward I will no longer blog about sports… I will instead blog about sports AND being a new father.
My son, Benjamin Alan, is due to be born on June 12th and he will be my first child. I’m beyond the point of scared shitless and have moved into the impatient and cautiously confident stage. His room is painted, his crib is constructed, his car seat and stroller are ready, he has clothes… but we are currently lacking in diapers. It’s strange that Katie and I have had 3 baby showers thrown for us and have received only 2 packages of diapers… which is strange because that’s a good default gift.
Anyway, I thought I’d add some interest to my blog by discussing my experience as a father. From here on out, Benjamin will be referred to as The Jet because his namesake is the character Benny “The Jet” Rodriguez from the movie The Sandlot (Katie’s favorite character from her favorite movie).

Okay, on to the developments in sports.
First, I think I jinxed the Capitals by picking them to when the Stanley Cup each of the last three years. It’s as if I’ve cursed them. If my pick does carry a curse, then I’ll take the Sharks to win this year.
Second, despite the fact that the Lakers, Celtics, and Spurs have all been eliminated, the NBA Playoffs have been pretty typical. A couple great games/performances and the remaining 4 teams could each win it all: The “superstar with a great supporting cast” team (Bulls), the “playing with house money” team (Mavericks), the “winning would destroy Cleveland” team (Heat), and the “more athletic at every position” team (Thunder). It’s conceivable that any team could win and it would make sense. The Bulls have the MVP, the Heat have two best players, the Mavericks are the well-coached, old guard, and the Thunder are the young, electric, athletic team. No story line or result would surprise me at this point.
Third, screw the lockout, I want some certainty in my football, damn it!
Finally, it is baseball season, I guess. My Royals have started 20-20, which is better than 10-30, so I’ll call it a success. They took 2 of 3 from the Yankees in New York and appear to be winning more close games than usual. I’ll be checking in on them regularly, but if they start to use that #1 rated farm system, they might be in the race longer than usual.

Monday, March 28, 2011

Final Rankings - My Tournament

So this is very delayed, but is hard to blog when you have a job that has much less down-time than you are used to. The final rankings are the RPI and SOS numbers from March 13th, and the final AP and ESPN polls from March 7th. I will use a seeded S-curve with the rankings to give you my bracket. The First Four 16: Texas-San Antonio vs. 16: Alabama State 16: Hampton vs. 16: Arkansas-Little Rock 12: Florida State vs. 12: Virginia Commonwealth 12: St. Mary's vs. 12: Colorado State East Regional 1: Kansas vs. 16: UTSA/ASU 2: Brigham Young vs. 15: Bucknell 3: Kentucky vs. 14: Akron 4: Syracuse vs. 13: Princeton 5: Wisconsin vs. 12: Richmond 6: UNLV vs. 11: UAB 7: Texas A&M vs. 10: George Mason 8: Michigan State vs. 9: Old Dominion West Regional 1: North Carolina vs. 16: Hampton/UALR 2: San Diego State vs. 15: Northern Colorado 3: Texas vs. 14: Wofford 4: Connecticut vs. 13: Oakland 5: West Virginia vs. 12: Gonzaga 6: Xavier vs. 11: Butler 7: Tennessee vs. 10: Michigan 8: Washington vs. 9: Memphis Southeast Regional 1: Ohio State vs. 16:UC-Santa Barbara 2: Duke vs. 15: Long Island 3: Pittsburgh vs. 14: Belmont 4: Louisville vs. 13: Indiana State 5: St. John's vs. 12: FSU/VCU 6: Arizona vs. 11: Georgia 7: Villanova vs. 10: Utah State 8: UCLA vs. 9: Temple Southwest Regional 1: Florida vs. 16: UNC-Ashville 2: Notre Dame vs. 15: Boston U. 3: Purdue vs. 14: Morehead State 4: Georgetown vs. 13: St. Peter's 5: Kansas State vs. 12: St. Mary's/CSU 6: Vanderbilt vs. 11: Boston College 7: Penn State vs. 10: Cincinnati 8: Missouri vs. 9: Illinois First 4 Out: Clemson, Marshall, Cleveland State, Harvard Next 4 Out: Alabama, Missouri State, UTEP, Wichita State

Monday, March 7, 2011

Next to Last Rankings

Here's how I determined the ranks this week...
The conference's auto-bid goes to the highest remaining seed in the conference tournament as of this morning (as I speak St. Peter's is beating Iona and VCU is challenging ODU). Bold print means the team is already in.

1: Kansas (Big 12)
2: Ohio State (Big 12)
3: North Carolina (ACC)
4: Pittsburgh (Big East)
5: Brigham Young (MWC)
6: Florida (SEC)
7: Notre Dame
8: Duke
9: Purdue
10: San Diego State
11: Georgetown
12: Kentucky
13: Texas
14: St. John's
15: Wisconsin
16: West Virginia
17: Louisville
18: Kansas State
19: Syracuse
20: Connecticut
21: Vanderbilt
22: Arizona (Pac 10)
23: Villanova
24: Xavier (A-10)
25: Tennessee
26: UNLV
27: Texas A&M
28: UCLA
29: Missouri
30: Illinois
31: Boston College
32: Michigan State
33: Georgia
34: Cincinnati
35: Old Dominion (Colonial)
36: UAB (C-USA)
37: Penn State
38: Colorado State
39: Utah State (WAC)
40: Memphis
41: George Mason
42: Temple
43: Butler
44: Washington
45: Michigan
46: Florida State
47: Marshall
48: St. Mary's (WCC)
49: VCU
50: Harvard (Ivy)
51: Indiana State (MVC)
52: Iona (MAAC)
53: Oakland (Summit)
54: UW-Milwaukee (Horizon)
55: Charleston (Southern)
56: Kent State (MAC)
57: Long Beach State (Big West)
58: Morehead State (OVC)
59: Belmont (A-Sun)
60: Bucknell (Patriot)
61: Long Island (NEC)
62: Northern Coloraho (Big Sky)
63: Boston U (Amer. East)
64: UNC-Ashville (Big South)
65: Mid Tenn State (Sun Belt)
66: McNeese State (Southland)
67: Texas Southern (SWAC)
68: Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)

First 4 Out: Cleveland State, Southern Miss, Clemson, Gonzaga
Next 4 Out: Missouri State, Alabama, Richmond, Princeton

Monday, February 28, 2011

Here Comes March!

1: Brigham Young (MWC)
1: Kansas (Big 12)
3: Ohio State (Big Ten)
4: Purdue
5: Pittsburgh (Big East)
6: Georgetown
7: St. John's
8: San Diego State
8: Florida (SEC)
10: Texas
11: Duke (ACC)
11: North Carolina
13: Louisville
14: Notre Dame
15: Wisconsin
15: Syracuse
17: Connecticut
18: Kentucky
19: Vanderbilt
20: West Virginia
20: Kansas State
22: Arizona (Pac-10)
23: Villanova
24: Xavier (A-10)
25: Tennessee
26: UNLV
27: Missouri
27: Texas A&M
29: Michigan State
30: UCLA
31: Illinois
32: Georgia
33: Memphis
34: George Mason (Colonial)
35: Boston College
36: Utah State (WAC)
37: Old Dominion
37: Temple
39: UAB (C-USA)
40: Penn State
41: Colorado State
42: Marquette
43: Cincinnati
43: Michigan
45: Washington
46: Virginia Tech
47: Butler
48: Minnesota
49: Cleveland State (Horizon)
50: Missouri State (MVC)
51: St. Mary's (WCC)
52: Oakland (Summit)
53: Princeton (Ivy)
54: Long Beach State (Big West)
55: Charleston (Southern)
56: Kent State (MAC)
57: Belmont (A-Sun)
58: Bucknell (Patriot)
59: Vermont (Amer. East)
60: Northern Colorado (Big Sky)
61: Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
62: Long Island (NEC)
63: Fairfield (MAAC)
64: Murray State (OVC)
65: Coastal Carolina (Big South)
66: McNeese State (Southland)
67: Texas Southern (SWAC)
68: Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)

First 4 Out: Southern Miss, Oklahoma State, Central Florida, Florida State
Next 4 Out: Marshall, Wichita State, Alabama, Harvard

Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Judgement Week

Not sure why ESPN calls this "Judgement Week." While it is a time when the contenders rise to the top and the prentenders drop off, technically every team is still alive until they're eliminated from the conference tournament. No team is undefeated in their conference after Nebraska's weekend upset of Texas and only the 0-28 Centenary Gentleman have yet to win a game.

Here are the rankings:

1: Kansas
2: Georgetown
3: Texas (Big 12)
4: Ohio State (Big 10)
5: Purdue
6: Brigham Young
7: Pittsburgh (Big East)
8: San Diego State (MWC)
9: Duke (ACC)
10: Florida (SEC)
11: Notre Dame
12: Connecticut
13: North Carolina
13: St. John's
15: Vanderbilt
16: Wisconsin
17: Kentucky
18: Louisville
19: Arizona (Pac 10)
20: Syracuse
21: West Virginia
22: Villanova
23: Tennessee
24: Xavier (A-10)
24: Kansas State
26: Texas A&M
27: UNLV
28: Missouri
29: George Mason (Colonial)
30: Michigan State
31: Washington
32: UCLA
33: Georgia
33: Illinois
35: Memphis
35: Minnesota
37: Boston College
38: Old Dominion
39: UAB (C-USA)
40: Utah State (WAC)
41: Temple
42: Colorado State
42: Penn State
44: Michigan
45: Cincinnati
46: Valparaiso
47: Cleveland State (Horizon)
48: Oklahoma State
49: Butler
50: St. Mary's (WCC)
51: Missouri State (MVC)
52: Harvard (Ivy)
53: Miami-OH (MAC)
54: Oakland (Summit)
55: Charleston (Southern)
56: Long Beach State (Big West)
57: Belmont (A-Sun)
58: Vermont (Amer. East)
59: Bucknell (Patriot)
60: Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
61: Morehead State (OVC)
62: Coastal Carolina (Big South)
63: Fairfield (MAAC)
64: Montana (Big Sky)
65: Long Island (NEC)
66: McNeese State (Southland)
67: Bethune-Cookman (MEAC)
68: Texas Southern (SWAC)

First 4 Out: Florida State, Southern Miss, Dayton, Wichita State
Next 4 Out: UTEP, VCU, Alabama, Princeton