Monday, February 22, 2010

Basketball Stretch Run

Just about everyone has four games left in their season, and the bubble got thinner this weekend with the Bracketbuster games knocking some of the high-rising mid-majors off their at-large bid bids (Siena, Wichita State, Utah State). Look out for some crazy finishes this week.

1: Duke (ACC)
2: Kansas (Big12)
3: Syracuse (Big East)

4: West Virginia
5: Kansas State
6: Georgetown
7: Pittsburgh
8: Kentucky (SEC)
9: Purdue (Big Ten)

10: Villanova
11: Texas A&M
12: Vanderbilt
13: Wisconsin
14: Tennessee
15: Baylor
16: New Mexico (MWC)
17: Michigan State
18: Temple
19: Xavier
20: Ohio State
21: Louisville
22: California (Pac10)
23: Texas
24: Butler (Horizon)
25: Wake Forest
26: Maryland
27: Georgia Tech
28: Clemson
29: Gonzaga (WCC)
30: Oklahoma State
31: Connecticut
32: Richmond (A-10)
33: Missouri
34: Texas Tech
35: Northern Iowa (MVC)
36: Rhode Island
37: BYU
38: Dayton
39: UNLV
40: Florida State
41: Utah State (WAC)
42: Marquette
43: San Diego State
44: Illinois
45: UAB
46: Old Dominion (Colonial)
47: UTEP (CUSA)
48: Virginia Tech
49: Siena (MAAC)
50: Kent State (MAC)
51: Cornell (Ivy)
52: Weber State (Big Sky)
53: Oakland (Summit)
54: Sam Houston State (Southland)
55: UC-Santa Barbara (Big West)
56: Wofford (Southern)
57: Murray State (OVC)
58: Jacksonville (A-Sun)
59: North Texas (Sun Belt)
60: Morgan State (MEAC)
61: Robert Morris (NEC)
62: Coastal Carolina (Big South)
63: Stony Brook (Amer. East)
64: Lehigh (Patriot)
65: Jackson State (SWAC)


Just missed it: Wichita State, Mississippi State, St. Mary's, William & Mary.

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

Basketball Week 3

As always, automatic bids are in bold (and these reflect games through Monday):

1: Kansas (Big 12)
2: Duke (ACC)
3: West Virginia
4: Syracuse (Big East)
5: Kansas State
6: Georgetown
7: Villanova
8: Kentucky (SEC)
9: Pittsburgh
10: Wisconsin
11: Purdue
12: Texas A&M
13: Vanderbilt
14: Tennessee
15: Wake Forest
16: Baylor
17: New Mexico (MWC)
18: Temple (A-10)
19: Michigan State (Big 10)
20: Gonzaga (WCC)
21: California (Pac-10)
22: Texas
23: Georgia Tech
24: Butler (Horizon)
25: Xavier
26: Louisville
27: Ohio State
29: Richmond
30: Rhode Island
31: Clemson
32: Texas Tech
33: UNLV
34: Dayton
35: BYU
36: Oklahoma State
37: Northern Iowa (MVC)
38: Old Dominion (Colonial)
39: Florida State
40: Illinois
41: San Diego State
42: Marquette
43: Missouri
44: UAB
45: Notre Dame
46: Charlotte
47: UTEP (C-USA)
48: Utah State (WAC)
49: Siena (Metro)
50: Kent State (MAC)
51: Cornell (Ivy)
52: Weber State (Big Sky)
53: Oakland (Summit)
54: Sam Houston State (Southland)
55: UC-Santa Barbara (Big West)
56: Charleston (Southern)
57: Belmont (A-Sun)
58: Murray State (OVC)
59: Arkansas State (Sun Belt)
60: Morgan State (MEAC)
61: Stony Brook (A-East)
62: Robert Morris (NEC)
63: Lehigh (Patriot)
64: Coastal Carolina (Big South)
65: Jackson State (SWAC)

First Four Out: Mississippi State, St. Mary's, Virginia Tech, Wichita State.

The conference tourneys are approaching and it'll get harder to identify the leaders of the mid-majors each week. For example, Belmont and Jacksonville are tied in the Atlantic Sun, but Belmont has the higher RPI and is moving up. Old Dominion and Northeastern (just on the outside as well) are also tied in the Colonial.
As for Mizzou's chances... a win tonight over Texas will go a long way. Basically you can break their 6 remaining games down in two groups. Have to wins at Nebraska (2/20), Colorado (2/24), and at Iowa State (2/27) and hope to wins Texas (tonight), at Kansas State (3/2), and Kansas (3/6). If they win one of the "hope to wins" and all the "have to wins" they finish 22-9 (10-6). That puts them in the 5-7 seed range with a winnable first round Big-12 game (Nebraska, Colorado, Iowa State). Win that one and they should be in. They would have no BAD conference losses (at Oklahoma is defendable), 2 of the 3 teams they lost to out-of-conference (at Vanderbilt and neutral-Richmond) are solid locks right now, and they have wins that are getting better by the day (neutral-Illinois, neutral-Old Dominion, Kansas State, Oklahoma State). Pulling out that Baylor win would have been much nicer, but if they knock off Texas tonight, they don't have to win in Manhattan or try to topple kU here.

Monday, February 8, 2010

Basketball Rankings Week 2 and Missed Super Bowl

I blew the Super Bowl blog... but my excuse is that two blogs a week would be too much time away from my important work. I would have picked the Colts, not sure why, probably because it was the safe pick... I definitely would not have guessed there would only be 1 turnover and 1 sack and the game would be over before 9pm. Props to the Saints for playing the most aggressive Super Bowl I've seen.

On to the Rankings...
1: Syracuse
2: West Virginia
3: Kansas
4: Duke
5: Georgetown
6: Kansas State
7: Villanova
8: Wisconsin
9: Kentucky
10: Purdue
11: Michigan State
12: Tennessee
13: Georgia Tech
14: Pittsburgh
15: Texas A&M
16: Vanderbilt
17: New Mexico
18: Butler
19: Temple
20: Wake Forest
21: Texas
22: Baylor
23: Gonzaga
24: California
25: Xavier
26: Rhode Island
27: Northern Iowa
28: Maryland
29: Texas Tech
30: Ohio State
31: Mississippi
32: Dayton
33: Connecticut
34: BYU
35: UNLV
36: Clemson
37: South Florida
38: Florida State
39: Oklahoma State
40: Richmond
41: Missouri
42: Marquette
43: UAB
44: Northeastern
45: Siena
46: St. Mary's
47: Charlotte
48: UTEP
49: Utah State
50: Cornell
51: Kent State
52: Oakland
53: Weber State
54: Sam Houston State
55: Charleston
56: Pacific
57: Belmont
58: Arkansas State
59: Murray State
60: Morgan State
61: Robert Morris
62: Stony Brook
63: Coastal Carolina
64: Lehigh
65: Jackson State

Just missed it: Notre Dame, Old Dominion, Wichita State, Illinois, Tulsa, Virginia Tech, Louisiana Tech.

Monday, February 1, 2010

Basketball Rankings Week 1

Need a refresher? I take all the teams getting votes in both polls, and those in the top 40 of the RPI, and the first-place team in each conference (aka, the auto-bids). Then the top 65 is the teams with the lowest average of the polls, the RPI and the strength of schedule. Here's the first one (auto-bids in bold):

1: Kansas
2: Syracuse
3: Georgetown
4: West Virginia
5: Duke
6: Kansas State
7: Villanova
8: Purdue
9: Wisconsin
10: Vanderbilt
11: Michigan State
12: Tennessee
13: Kentucky
14: Pittsburgh
15: Temple
16: Georgia Tech
17: Xavier
18: Texas
19: New Mexico
20: Butler
21: Baylor
22: California
23: Rhode Island
24: Wake Forest
25: Ohio State
26: Connecticut
27: Clemson
28: Gonzaga
29: Texas A&M
30: Florida State
31: Brigham Young
32: Texas Tech
33: Northern Iowa
34: Maryland
35: Missouri
36: Marquette
37: Mississippi
38: Oklahoma State
39: Dayton
40: UAB
41: San Diego State
42: UNLV
43: Richmond
44: St. Mary's
45: Cornell
46: Charlotte
47: Siena
48: Kent State
49: Wichita State
50: UTEP
51: Oakland
52: Sam Houston State
53: Weber State
54: Charleston
55: Louisiana Tech
56: Pacific
57: Arkansas State
58: Jacksonville
59: Murray State
60: Morgan State
61: Robert Morris
62: Stony Brook
63: Coastal Carolina
64: Lehigh
65: Jackson State

Just Missed it: George Mason, Virginia Tech, Tulsa