Thursday, November 12, 2009

Week 10 College Football

It's do or die time in College football, and you know everything will be up for grabs because I have a new number one. But first things first:

Bears over 49ers... I wavered just long enough, so don't think this is an uber-confident pick here. I'm totally riding the Crabtree Curse until the Niners win with him.

Rankings for this week:
1: Alabama (9-0)
2: Florida (9-0)
3: Cincinnati (9-0)
4: Texas (9-0)
5: Texas Christian (9-0)
6: Boise State (9-0)
7: Georgia Tech (9-1)
8: Iowa (9-1)
9: Pittsburgh (8-1)
10: Utah (8-1)
11: Houston (8-1)
12: Ohio State (8-2)
13: Penn State (8-2)
14: Oregon (7-2)
15: Southern Cal (7-2)
16: Miami (FL) (7-2)
17: Louisiana State (7-2)
18: West Virginia (7-2)
19: Oklahoma State (7-2)
20: Wisconsin (7-2)
21: Brigham Young (7-2)
22: Temple (7-2)
23: Arizona (6-2)
24: South Florida (6-2)
25: Rutgers (6-2)
26: Auburn (7-3)
27: Navy (7-3)
28: Virginia Tech (6-3)
29: Oregon State (6-3)
30: Stanford (6-3)
31: Clemson (6-3)
32: Texas Tech (6-3)
33: Nebraska (6-3)
34: Mississippi (6-3)
35: Fresno State (6-3)
36: Kansas State (6-4)
37: Tennessee (5-4)

Honorable Mention: Ohio (7-3), Central Michigan (7-2), Idaho (7-3), Troy (7-2).

Weekly Picks:
Georgia over #26 Auburn ... I know this might be a silly upset pick, but I don't like the Tigers on the road in a rivalry game. Maybe they are getting nervous about the upcoming Iron Bowl, who knows?
#34 Mississippi over #37 Tennessee ... They are not a top 5 team, but they are a quality team, probably 9-3 worthy. The Vols are no better than 7-5, so I'll take the Rebels at home.
#16 Miami (FL) over North Carolina ... Every time I get behind the Canes, they let me down (see loss to Clemson). The Tar Heels have some great wins, but they let Florida State off the hook. I'll go with the Canes to keep pace in the division.
#5 Texas Christian over #10 Utah ... Give me the Frogs stifling defense against a freshman quarterback any day. Even if the freshman has been sparking the Utes. A TCU loss would be the end of the MWC auto-bid argument.
#15 Southern Cal over #30 Stanford ... Two factors are key for this game: one, Stanford ran all over Oregon the week after Oregon ran all over USC; two, USC wants sweet revenge for Stanfords upset in '07. I'm taking the second option because I think USC fixed the problems.
#9 Pittsburgh over Notre Dame ... The Irish are sunk. They do one thing well... Clausen to Tate. That being said, if they are going to return to glory, now is the time. I'm just tired of Weis's job being safe or fragile week to week and it being news. Apparently each game is the biggest of his career.
#2 Florida over South Carolina ... I'm not buying into the "Spurrier against his old team at home" idea. Tebow doesn't like to lose, Spikes hates to lose, and the Pouncey twins love to eat the celebratory buffet... so Gators all the way!
#19 Oklahoma State over #32 Texas Tech ... This Tech team is not quite like last year's. It's more like it usually is... blowing out the weaker teams, not stopping the better teams. They are a bowl team, not a division champ team. The Cowboys are playing for the Cotton Bowl.
#11 Houston over Central Florida ... I think Tulsa was the last barrier to Houston's 12-win season and C-USA championship. UCF can play with the Cougs, but I don't think the team that beat both teams from the previous game in back-to-back games will do just fine.
#12 Ohio State over #8 Iowa ... If Stanzi wasn't hurt I'd be taking Iowa. The back-up on the big stage, on the road, against a surging high-quality team is not a good pick. That being said, there is the let-down chance for the Buckeyes.

Last Week: 6-4 (29 pts.)
Season: 69-31 (408 pts., 95th percentile)

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